Parma vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
24.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
BRI
2 - 1
PAR
47%
30%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 0
USA
64%
24%
13%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
PES
1 - 1
PAR
66%
22%
13%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARZ
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAR
56%
27%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
USF
0 - 0
PAL
52%
29%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
PAL
1 - 0
BRE
64%
25%
11%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
VER
0 - 0
PAL
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
PAL
0 - 0
GEN
61%
26%
14%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
PAL
1 - 0
COM
48%
29%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |