Parma vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
28.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAG
43%
29%
28%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAD
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 2
POT
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
PAL
1 - 0
UDI
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
PAL
0 - 0
USA
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
FCC
3 - 1
PAL
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
PAL
4 - 0
NAP
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
PAL
0 - 1
CAG
52%
28%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |