Parma vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 0
PRG
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
ACM
4 - 1
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 0
CES
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 3
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 2
PRG
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
BRI
65%
19%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
VIC
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
INT
2 - 0
NOV
85%
11%
5%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
ASC
0 - 0
NOV
67%
18%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |