Parma vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 1
MES
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
USA
0 - 0
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
LAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 1
NOV
71%
18%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 2
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
REG
2 - 1
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 2
SSS
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
VER
1 - 2
NOV
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |