Parma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
32.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
PAR
0 - 3
LIV
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
POT
2 - 0
PAR
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
PRO
0 - 0
PAR
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEC
38%
31%
31%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
USA
3 - 0
PAR
58%
26%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
NAP
2 - 0
BAR
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
REG
1 - 1
NAP
41%
29%
29%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
NAP
4 - 0
BRE
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
PAL
0 - 0
NAP
40%
31%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
LEC
3 - 0
NAP
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |