Parma vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 1
PAR
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
PRO
1 - 0
PAR
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
PAR
3 - 1
UDI
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
PAR
1 - 1
TRI
41%
28%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
VNZ
0 - 1
PAR
68%
21%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
NAP
1 - 2
POT
68%
19%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
VER
0 - 0
NAP
54%
24%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
NAP
2 - 1
CAG
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
ACP
0 - 0
NAP
33%
30%
37%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
NAP
1 - 2
ASS
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |