Parma vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
BAR
0 - 0
PAR
51%
29%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
PAR
1 - 1
SSS
52%
29%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
UDI
2 - 1
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
TAR
0 - 0
PAR
41%
31%
28%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
PAR
3 - 0
PIA
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 1
BOL
31%
32%
37%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
TRI
1 - 0
MOD
59%
25%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 1
PIA
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
33%
32%
35%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
ATL
2 - 0
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |