Parma vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAR
65%
19%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
TAR
1 - 0
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAL
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
MOD
3 - 0
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
PAL
1 - 0
MOD
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
MOD
2 - 0
SAL
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |