Parma vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
62.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
PAR
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
GEN
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 0
ROM
11%
19%
70%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 3
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
INT
10%
20%
70%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ACM
1 - 1
SAM
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 3
ACM
28%
26%
47%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
ACM
0 - 1
MUD
32%
26%
43%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ACM
0 - 1
NAP
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
MUD
1 - 1
ACM
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |