Parma vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 1
INT
14%
21%
66%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
EMP
0 - 2
PAR
81%
12%
7%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 3
AVE
30%
31%
40%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 1
CES
33%
31%
36%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAR
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
ACM
1 - 2
ROM
41%
28%
32%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1984 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
73%
17%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
UDI
1 - 2
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
ACM
2 - 1
PIS
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
TOR
1 - 2
ACM
57%
23%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |