Europa League 1/64
Global 4-1
Parma vs Metalurh Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 1
SIE
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
MED
1 - 1
PAR
30%
27%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
LAZ
2 - 3
PAR
62%
21%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 0
PRG
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Metalurh Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
MED
1 - 0
ZIR
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
KPT
0 - 2
MED
28%
27%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
MED
1 - 1
PAR
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
MED
2 - 0
BOR
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MEZ
1 - 4
MED
35%
26%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |