Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 3-2
Parma vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
PAR
0 - 1
ACM
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 1
BIF
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
JUV
3 - 1
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
MES
0 - 2
PAR
20%
27%
54%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
PAR
2 - 1
PRG
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
PIS
2 - 1
MES
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2001 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
58%
26%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
MES
2 - 1
NAP
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
MES
0 - 2
PAR
20%
27%
54%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
MES
3 - 1
COS
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |