Parma vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
26.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
USA
0 - 0
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
LAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 2
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
MES
1 - 2
LAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
MES
3 - 2
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 1
MES
53%
25%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
USA
3 - 2
MES
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |