Parma vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 0
FCC
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
MOD
4 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 0
TAR
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
PAR
0 - 2
TOR
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
MES
0 - 0
VNZ
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
MES
1 - 0
SSS
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
ASS
3 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
COM
2 - 1
MES
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
MES
0 - 0
FCC
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |