Parma vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
VER
3 - 1
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 0
PAR
57%
21%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 0
UDI
28%
22%
49%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 3
USA
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
BAR
3 - 1
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
UDI
3 - 1
MES
78%
15%
8%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
MES
2 - 0
BRE
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
MES
7 - 4
CAG
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
TAR
1 - 1
MES
59%
21%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
SAL
2 - 1
MES
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |