Parma vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAR
37%
23%
40%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
PAR
1 - 0
PAV
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
MOD
2 - 1
PAR
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
PAR
2 - 1
VER
76%
15%
10%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
PAR
0 - 0
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
PAD
3 - 1
MES
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
MES
1 - 0
VER
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
MES
3 - 3
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
TAR
2 - 1
MES
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |