Parma vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
VER
1 - 0
PAR
66%
23%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAR
51%
32%
17%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
PAR
3 - 2
VIC
31%
31%
38%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
PAR
1 - 0
PAL
38%
31%
31%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
SAM
5 - 0
PAR
65%
23%
12%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
MAT
0 - 1
PIS
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
BAR
1 - 1
MAT
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
MAT
1 - 2
ASS
36%
31%
33%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
VIC
1 - 1
MAT
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
MAT
0 - 0
PAL
33%
29%
38%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |