Parma vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
GEN
3 - 0
PAR
69%
19%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
REG
1 - 1
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
PAR
0 - 2
NAP
45%
28%
26%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
PAR
0 - 0
SSS
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
BAR
1 - 2
PAR
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
ASL
2 - 1
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
NAP
1 - 0
ASL
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 0
ASS
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 0
LAZ
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |