Parma vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
INT
2 - 0
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
SIE
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 1
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
REG
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
ASC
0 - 0
PAR
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
LIV
4 - 1
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
UDI
4 - 0
LIV
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
EMP
2 - 2
LIV
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 2
INT
13%
23%
63%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
SIE
0 - 0
LIV
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |