Parma vs Licata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
SSS
0 - 1
PAR
36%
33%
31%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
PAR
2 - 1
AVE
35%
31%
34%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAR
52%
28%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAD
53%
29%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
BAR
2 - 1
PAR
53%
27%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
LIC
2 - 0
PIA
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
LIC
3 - 1
PAD
42%
30%
29%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
MES
2 - 1
LIC
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
LIC
1 - 1
TAR
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
EMP
0 - 0
LIC
60%
25%
15%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |