Parma vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
24.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1988 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PAR
52%
28%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
PAR
0 - 0
TRI
51%
30%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1988 |
PAR
0 - 0
AVE
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
SSB
1 - 1
PAR
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
LEC
2 - 1
MES
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
FCC
0 - 0
LEC
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
LEC
0 - 0
USC
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
BAR
2 - 0
LEC
45%
30%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
LEC
1 - 0
UDI
51%
25%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |