Parma vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
32.5%
Draw
0-0
16.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.5%
26%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PAR
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAR
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAG
46%
31%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
TAR
3 - 0
PAR
31%
34%
35%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
MES
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 1
SSS
60%
27%
14%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
TAR
2 - 2
LEC
33%
34%
33%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
LEC
2 - 2
BOL
53%
29%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
PES
0 - 0
LEC
52%
28%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 0
BAR
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |