Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 6-1
Parma vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
PAR
2 - 0
LAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2000 |
PAR
2 - 2
MUN
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
37%
26%
36%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
PAR
2 - 0
UDI
54%
24%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2000 |
DZG
1 - 0
PAR
40%
25%
35%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
VIC
0 - 0
INT
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2000 |
HER
0 - 0
INT
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
INT
2 - 1
PRG
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
INT
0 - 1
LEC
73%
17%
11%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2000 |
VIT
1 - 1
INT
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |