Parma vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
PAR
0 - 0
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAR
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
PAR
2 - 2
COM
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
UDI
4 - 1
PAR
63%
18%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
PAR
2 - 1
CRE
87%
9%
5%
|
73 | 30 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
VER
2 - 4
ACM
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
UNI
3 - 1
VER
72%
17%
12%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
VER
1 - 0
TRE
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
MES
2 - 0
VER
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
VER
0 - 0
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |