Parma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
EMP
3 - 3
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 4
NAP
10%
20%
70%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAG
2 - 1
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 1
INT
17%
26%
57%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
JUV
3 - 3
PAR
85%
12%
3%
|
71 | 92 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 0
FRO
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 0
GEN
34%
27%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAS
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |