Parma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 0
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 2
NAP
35%
26%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
PAR
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
JUV
25%
26%
49%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
PAL
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GEN
3 - 2
LAZ
34%
25%
40%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
GEN
79%
14%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 2
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAG
2 - 1
GEN
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 0
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |