Parma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
NAP
2 - 3
PAR
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
FIO
29%
28%
44%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
ACM
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAR
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 0
GEN
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIV
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SIE
0 - 0
GEN
33%
28%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
GEN
2 - 2
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 0
GEN
60%
23%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |