Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 4-0
Parma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1998 |
PAR
1 - 3
BRE
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
ACM
1 - 1
PAR
42%
28%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
PAR
2 - 2
SAM
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
LAZ
1 - 2
PAR
64%
21%
16%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
LEC
0 - 2
PAR
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
ATL
1 - 0
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
GEN
3 - 2
TER
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1998 |
TER
1 - 1
GEN
16%
22%
62%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAD
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
RAV
3 - 0
GEN
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |