Parma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
20.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
COM
2 - 0
PAR
58%
27%
15%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
PRG
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
VER
1 - 0
PAR
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 0
USF
50%
29%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAR
62%
25%
13%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 1
USA
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
USF
1 - 0
GEN
59%
26%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
NOV
2 - 1
GEN
56%
27%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 0
COM
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |