Parma vs Cosenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
FCC
0 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 2
VER
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 1
PRO
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
ASL
3 - 0
PAR
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
GEN
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
COS
1 - 1
ACP
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
COS
1 - 0
SSS
59%
21%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 1
COS
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
MES
3 - 0
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
COS
0 - 0
FCC
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |