Parma vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
21.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
29.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
26.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
TRI
0 - 2
PAR
43%
30%
28%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAG
51%
29%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
AVE
0 - 1
PAR
46%
30%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
BRE
0 - 1
PAR
43%
31%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
PAR
1 - 1
TOR
23%
31%
46%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
FCC
2 - 3
ANC
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
COM
0 - 0
FCC
56%
29%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASS
44%
30%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
REG
0 - 1
FCC
55%
29%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
FCC
0 - 0
COS
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |