Parma vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
29.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 1
PAR
56%
28%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 0
AVE
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
REG
1 - 0
PAR
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
PAR
2 - 1
TAR
56%
27%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAR
62%
26%
12%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
FCC
2 - 1
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1979 |
JUV
4 - 2
FCC
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
FCC
1 - 1
JUV
32%
30%
39%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
FCC
2 - 1
TOR
34%
31%
35%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAG
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |