Parma vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
VER
1 - 1
PAR
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
PRO
2 - 0
PAR
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
PAR
1 - 1
ASL
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
GEN
3 - 0
PAR
69%
19%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
REG
1 - 1
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACP
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
FCC
2 - 2
NOV
55%
24%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
FCC
1 - 1
COS
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
MES
5 - 1
FCC
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |