Parma vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PAR
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
JUV
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
SIE
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAR
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 2
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
EMP
0 - 0
TOR
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SAM
3 - 0
EMP
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
EMP
2 - 2
ROM
18%
24%
59%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
JUV
3 - 0
EMP
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
EMP
0 - 1
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |