Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Parma vs Degerfors IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
SAM
1 - 1
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
PAR
3 - 0
TOR
44%
29%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1993 |
DEG
1 - 2
PAR
18%
25%
56%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
PAR
2 - 1
GEN
55%
26%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Degerfors IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
DEG
2 - 4
GÖT
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
HÄC
3 - 0
DEG
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1993 |
DEG
1 - 2
PAR
18%
25%
56%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
DEG
1 - 1
ORE
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1993 |
ORG
1 - 1
DEG
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |