Parma vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
26.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
SSS
3 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 0
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRE
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 1
ASS
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
TRI
4 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
NOV
0 - 0
COM
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
COM
1 - 1
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
COM
0 - 0
MOD
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
66%
20%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |