Parma vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
UDI
4 - 1
PAR
63%
18%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
PAR
2 - 1
CRE
87%
9%
5%
|
73 | 31 | 42 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
PAR
2 - 1
USC
70%
16%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
PAR
3 - 1
SUC
87%
9%
4%
|
72 | 22 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
REG
2 - 1
PAR
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
TRE
0 - 0
COM
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
COM
0 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
COM
1 - 0
MES
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 1
COM
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
COM
2 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |