Parma vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
PAL
4 - 2
PAR
48%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
LAZ
37%
27%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
INT
0 - 0
PAR
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
ACM
4 - 3
PAR
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAG
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
JUV
16%
24%
61%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 1
LEC
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
ROM
4 - 0
CHI
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 0
UDI
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |