Parma vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 1
EMP
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PAR
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAR
4 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAR
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAG
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
CAT
2 - 0
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAT
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
16%
24%
60%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
EMP
2 - 1
CAT
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
CAT
3 - 3
ASC
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |