Parma vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
11%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
19.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
27.2%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
17.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEC
42%
33%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PAR
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAR
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAG
46%
31%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
TAR
3 - 0
PAR
31%
34%
35%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 1
CAM
53%
28%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
VIC
2 - 1
CAT
63%
24%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
PES
1 - 0
CAT
58%
26%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
SSS
54%
29%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CAT
63%
24%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |