Parma vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
PAR
14%
22%
64%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
ASG
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 1
PAR
8%
18%
74%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
MAN
80%
15%
5%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 5
PAR
8%
19%
73%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 1
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BV5
2 - 1
PAD
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
PAD
1 - 0
MOD
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAD
31%
27%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 0
REG
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |