Parma vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
31%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1965 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRI
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
REG
0 - 0
PAR
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
PAR
1 - 1
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
FCC
3 - 0
PAR
60%
25%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
PAR
1 - 1
MOD
37%
30%
34%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1965 |
PAD
2 - 0
REG
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
BAR
1 - 3
PAD
46%
29%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
VNZ
0 - 2
PAD
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
PAD
0 - 0
BRE
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAD
44%
30%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |