Parma vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
41.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
PAR
0 - 1
ACM
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
PAR
0 - 1
ASS
51%
27%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
PAR
4 - 0
COM
49%
27%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
MES
2 - 0
PAR
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
PAD
2 - 1
VIC
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
PAD
0 - 3
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 1
VNZ
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAD
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
FIO
3 - 1
PAD
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |