Parma vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
28.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
SSS
2 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
PRO
5 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
PAR
1 - 0
USF
40%
25%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
ASS
3 - 1
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
PAR
3 - 0
COS
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
LEC
0 - 0
PRO
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
LEC
2 - 1
VER
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
TRI
3 - 1
LEC
46%
29%
25%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
COS
0 - 0
LEC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
LEC
1 - 1
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |