Parma vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 2
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAM
47%
27%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
REG
2 - 1
PAR
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 1
INT
23%
27%
51%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 2
UDI
33%
26%
42%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
CAG
2 - 1
ASC
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
JUV
4 - 0
CAG
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
CAG
1 - 1
SAM
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 2
CAG
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
CAG
2 - 0
SAM
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |