Parma vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
AVE
0 - 1
PAR
46%
30%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
BRE
0 - 1
PAR
43%
31%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
PAR
1 - 1
TOR
23%
31%
46%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
SSB
1 - 0
PAR
39%
31%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
PAR
1 - 0
ASS
54%
28%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
CAG
0 - 0
TOR
24%
30%
45%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
SSB
0 - 0
CAG
42%
30%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
CAG
0 - 0
USF
58%
26%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
REG
2 - 0
CAG
38%
31%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
CAG
0 - 0
BRE
60%
26%
14%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |