Parma vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
31%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
23.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
TAR
3 - 0
PAR
31%
34%
35%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
MES
42%
30%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAR
40%
31%
29%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAM
47%
32%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
BAR
0 - 0
PAR
58%
26%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
CAG
2 - 2
USC
40%
33%
26%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 1
CAG
43%
32%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
CAG
0 - 0
PES
47%
31%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
MES
2 - 0
CAG
54%
25%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
CAG
1 - 3
VIC
39%
32%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |