Parma vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 1
MOD
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAR
65%
19%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
TAR
1 - 0
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAL
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 0
CAG
56%
23%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
CAG
3 - 2
SAL
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
BRE
2 - 2
CAG
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
COM
3 - 3
CAG
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |