Parma vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAD
63%
19%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAR
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
MES
1 - 2
PAR
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
TAR
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
PAV
0 - 0
PAR
42%
23%
35%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
VER
3 - 1
CAG
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
CAG
0 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
CAG
1 - 0
VIC
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1955 |
ASS
1 - 0
CAG
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
BRE
0 - 1
CAG
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |