Parma vs Brindisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
USA
0 - 0
PAR
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
PES
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 2
PAR
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 0
SPA
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
SSS
2 - 1
PAR
48%
31%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brindisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
BRI
4 - 1
SSS
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
ATL
2 - 0
BRI
59%
26%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
BRI
1 - 0
COM
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
BRI
1 - 2
GEN
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
VER
0 - 0
BRI
73%
19%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |